Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 32.349609 34.772790 37.394652 40.461436 43.975277 47.906485 52.681800
2025-06-15 29.498523 32.887352 36.796038 41.711188 47.837976 55.385260 65.663821
2025-06-22 27.195299 30.995962 35.556235 41.565752 49.500090 59.982074 75.598549
2025-06-29 25.261317 29.247330 34.168380 40.883715 50.153429 63.114217 83.980142
2025-07-06 23.526606 27.553753 32.631658 39.746739 49.915094 64.800442 90.404558
2025-07-13 22.952809 27.258320 32.829239 40.897712 52.955571 71.726112 107.193249
2025-07-20 22.335639 26.839705 32.797806 41.680883 55.503154 78.305022 125.678711
2025-07-27 21.692357 26.329029 32.579997 42.139345 57.564526 84.431607 145.829804
2025-08-03 20.902133 25.563024 31.938274 41.881687 58.396719 88.477749 163.215627
2025-08-10 20.036574 24.642777 31.011697 41.094363 58.217336 90.530857 176.638637
2025-08-17 19.248626 23.790305 30.129828 40.299383 57.919031 92.274006 190.245477
2025-08-24 18.581206 23.075451 29.407146 39.697354 57.886717 94.559507 207.069182
2025-08-31 17.825833 22.220114 28.456069 38.695571 57.087792 95.198481 219.691349
2025-09-07 17.684744 22.236033 28.805201 39.857765 60.492944 106.272048 283.539510
2025-09-14 17.232921 21.778916 28.406787 39.722859 61.358884 111.503527 330.652211
2025-09-21 16.695343 21.173901 27.749040 39.090560 61.143748 113.906188 367.510324
2025-09-28 16.094165 20.453945 26.881139 38.035307 59.945257 113.396159 386.661688
2025-10-05 16.013551 20.499165 27.207752 39.103542 63.335656 126.874179 546.519067
2025-10-12 15.859518 20.426236 27.340148 39.829548 66.101078 139.753575 789.504861
2025-10-19 15.650249 20.260234 27.312073 40.254223 68.252280 151.692470 1177.052259
2025-10-26 15.320172 19.897725 26.946318 40.015583 68.813582 158.282074 1616.246400
2025-11-02 14.911751 19.402495 26.342949 39.285905 68.104882 159.827498 1976.786252
2025-11-09 14.521356 18.924616 25.751898 38.548415 67.306298 160.848631 2431.678926